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Posted Tuesday March 12, 2019


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Survey - Jobs

Moderate Hiring Plans for the Second Quarter of 2019

Job Prospects Strongest in the Transportation & Public Utilities Sector say Manpower

Modest gains in employment are anticipated by Canadian employers over the next three months, with a moderate hiring climate for job seekers in the second quarter of 2019. Employers in the Transportation & Public Utilities sector report the strongest job prospects according to the latest ManpowerGroup Employment Outlook Survey, the most extensive, forward-looking employment survey in the world.

With seasonal variations removed from the data, the Net Employment Outlook of 10 per cent is a two percentage point decrease compared to the previous quarter and is a decrease of four percentage points compared to the Outlook reported during the same time last year.

The survey of over 1,900 employers across Canada reveals that 16 per cent of employers plan to increase their staffing levels in the second quarter of 2019, while three per cent anticipate cutbacks. 80 per cent of the employers surveyed expect their current staffing levels to remain unchanged, while the remaining one per cent are unsure of their hiring intentions.

“Canadian job growth has picked up in the first quarter of 2019, and this appears to be reflected in the forecast for the second quarter of 2019. With the private sector ramping up hiring efforts, 66,800 new jobs were created January, and this trend can be expected to continue in second quarter of the year,” said Darlene Minatel, Country Manager for ManpowerGroup Canada. “Ontario and Quebec continue to experience a hiring surge, but many employers are still struggling to find the right candidates for open jobs.”

Public Administration
Employers in this sector report a Net Employment Outlook of 16 per cent for the second quarter of 2019, indicating an upbeat hiring pace. This is a one percentage point decrease from the forecast reported for the previous quarter, and a decrease of five percentage points compared to the same time last year.

Manufacturing – Durables
The Net Employment Outlook in the Manufacturing – Durables sector is a respectable 15 per cent this quarter. This is a five percentage point decrease from the Outlook result reported last quarter and a four percentage point decrease in the same quarter last year.

Transportation & Public Utilities
Employers in the Transportation & Public Utilities sector anticipate solid hiring opportunities, reporting a Net Employment Outlook of 24 per cent for the second quarter of 2019, the most favourable outlook of any sector this quarter. This is a five percentage point decrease from the forecast reported for the previous quarter, and an increase of five percentage points compared to the same time last year.

Services
Employment prospects in the Services sector remain cautiously optimistic for the second quarter of 2019, with a Net Employment Outlook of 9 per cent. This is a two percentage point decrease when compared to the previous quarter and a decrease of six per cent over the Outlook reported during the same time last year.

Construction
Job seekers in the Construction sector should expect to see a reserved hiring pace for the upcoming quarter with a Net Employment Outlook of 5 per cent. This forecast is a decrease of 11 percentage points from the Outlook reported in the previous quarter but it’s an 11 percentage point increase compared to the same time last year.

Manufacturing – Non-Durables
In the Manufacturing – Non-Durables industry, employers report a Net Employment Outlook of 10 per cent, indicating a moderate hiring environment in the coming quarter. This forecast is an increase of three percentage points from last quarter but it’s a three percentage point decrease over the Outlook reported during the same time last year.

Mining
Employers in the Mining sector forecast a modest hiring climate with a Net Employment Outlook of 9 per cent for the second quarter of 2019. This represents a one percentage point increase from last quarter but it’s a decrease of five percentage points from the Outlook reported during the same time last year.

Finance, Insurance & Real Estate
In the Finance, Insurance & Real Estate sector, employers anticipate a steady hiring climate for the second quarter of 2019, reporting a Net Employment Outlook of 14 per cent. Hiring prospects are one percentage point lower in comparison with 1Q 2019 and it’s also one percentage point weaker when compared with the same period one year ago.

Education
Employers in the education sector expect a conservative increase in staffing levels for the upcoming quarter reporting a Net Employment Outlook of eight per cent. This result is a decrease of three percentage points from last quarter but it’s a substantial 11 percentage point increase from the Outlook reported during the same quarter last year.

Wholesale & Retail Trade
In the Wholesale & Retail Trade sector, employers anticipate the weakest labour market in two years, reporting a Net Employment Outlook of seven per cent. This reflects a three percentage point decrease compared to the previous quarter’s forecast, and it’s a decrease of two percentage points from the Outlook reported during the same time last year.

Hiring Intentions Most Respectable in Quebec
Survey results for the second quarter of 2019 show that job seekers across much of Canada can expect to see conservative levels of hiring activity. Employers in Quebec expect the most favourable hiring climate for the coming quarter, reporting a Net Employment Outlook of 18 per cent. Employers in Ontario and Atlantic Canada anticipate a fair hiring pace, with employers in both these regions reporting Outlook results of 10 per cent, respectively. Job seekers in Western Canada should plan for a modest hiring climate, with employers reporting an Outlook result of nine per cent.

Large and Medium-sized Organizations Expect Most Positive Hiring Climate
Employers in large (250+ employees) and medium (50-249 employees) sized organizations report the most positive hiring plans for the upcoming quarter, reporting seasonally adjusted Outlook results of 26 and 15 per cent, respectively. Meanwhile, employers in small organizations (10-49 employees) report a moderate Outlook result of nine per cent, while those in micro-sized organizations (1-9 employees) expect a limited hiring pace, reporting an Outlook of two per cent for the upcoming quarter.


Full survey results for each of the 44 countries and territories included in this quarter’s survey, plus regional and global comparisons, can be found at http://manpowergroup.com/press/meos_landing.cfm. In addition, all tables and graphs from the full report are available to be downloaded for use in publication or broadcast from the Manpower Web site at www.manpower.ca > Employers > Research and Insights.

Note that in Quarter 2 of 2008, the survey adopted the TRAMO-SEATS model for seasonal adjustment of data. As a result, you may notice some seasonally adjusted data points change slightly from previous reports. This model is recommended by the Eurostat department of the European Union and the European Central Bank and is widely used internationally.









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