Steady gains in employment are anticipated by Canadian employers over the next three months, with a positive hiring climate for job seekers in the third quarter of 2019. Employers in the Public Administration sector report the strongest job prospects according to the latest ManpowerGroup Employment Outlook Survey, the most extensive, forward-looking employment survey in the world.
With seasonal variations removed from the data, the Net Employment Outlook of +12% is a two percentage point increase compared to the previous quarter and is a decrease of one percentage point compared to the Outlook reported during the same time last year.
The survey of over 1,900 employers across Canada reveals that 19% of employers plan to increase their staffing levels in the third quarter of 2019, while 3% anticipate cutbacks. Meanwhile, 77% of the employers surveyed expect their current staffing levels to remain unchanged, while the remaining 1% are unsure of their hiring intentions. Employers in all 10 industry sectors in all four regions of the country expect to add to payrolls this quarter.
“The arrival of spring has brought good news for Canadian job seekers. Following a moderately upward swing in job growth at the start of 2019, the market is expected to grow through the next quarter,” said Darlene Minatel, Country Manager for ManpowerGroup Canada. “Employers in Canada continue to struggle with talent shortages and are increasingly interested in hiring teachable candidates. Talent shortages are also leading many companies to offer more full-time roles.”
Employers in this sector report a Net Employment Outlook of +21%, indicating an upbeat hiring pace for the third quarter of 2019 and the most favourable outlook of any sector this quarter. This is a five percentage point decrease in both the forecast reported for the previous quarter and year-over-year.
Manufacturing – Durables
The Net Employment Outlook in the Manufacturing – Durables sector is a respectable +13% this quarter. This is a two percentage point decrease from the Outlook result reported last quarter and a one percentage point decrease in the same quarterly Outlook last year.
Transportation & Public Utilities
Employers in the Transportation & Public Utilities sector anticipate upbeat hiring opportunities, reporting a Net Employment Outlook of +15% for the third quarter of 2019. This is an eight percentage point decrease from the Outlook reported for the previous quarter, and a decrease of six percentage points compared to Outlook in the third quarter of 2018.
Employment prospects in the Services sector remain cautiously optimistic for the third quarter of 2019, with a Net Employment Outlook of +11%. This is a one percentage point increase when compared to the previous quarterly Outlook but it’s a decrease of one per cent over the Outlook reported during the same time last year.
Job seekers in the Construction sector should expect to see a cautiously optimistic hiring pace for the upcoming quarter with a Net Employment Outlook of +10%. This forecast is an increase of five percentage points from the Outlook reported in the previous quarter but a seven percentage point decrease compared to the third quarter 2018 Outlook.
Manufacturing – Non-Durables
In the Manufacturing – Non-Durables industry, employers report a Net Employment Outlook of +10%, indicating a moderate hiring environment in the coming quarter. This forecast is the same outlook that was reported in Q2 and it’s a two percentage point increase over the Outlook reported during the same time last year.
Employers in the Mining sector forecast a conservative hiring climate with a Net Employment Outlook of +6% for the third quarter of 2019. This represents a three percentage point decrease from last quarter and is five percentage points weaker than the Outlook reported during the third quarter of 2018.
Finance, Insurance & Real Estate
In the Finance, Insurance & Real Estate sector, employers anticipate a steady hiring climate for the third quarter of 2019, reporting a Net Employment Outlook of +15%. Hiring prospects are one percentage point higher in comparison with 2Q 2019 and it’s five percentage points stronger when compared with the same period one year ago.
Employers in the education sector expect a subdued increase in staffing levels for the upcoming quarter reporting a Net Employment Outlook of +5%. This result is a decrease of four percentage points from last quarter and it’s a five percentage point decrease from the Outlook reported during the same quarter last year.
Wholesale & Retail Trade
In the Wholesale & Retail Trade sector, employers anticipate a cautiously optimistic hiring pace with a Net Employment Outlook of +10%. This reflects a three percentage point increase compared to the previous quarter’s forecast, and it’s an increase of one percentage point from the Outlook reported during the third quarter last year.
Hiring Intentions Most Respectable in Atlantic Canada
Survey results for the third quarter of 2019 show that job seekers across much of Canada can expect to see conservative levels of hiring activity. Employers in Atlantic Canada expect the most favourable hiring climate for the coming quarter, reporting a Net Employment Outlook of +13%. Employers in Ontario and Quebec anticipate a moderate hiring pace, with employers in both these regions reporting Outlook results of +12% and +10%, respectively. Job seekers in Western Canada should plan for a modest hiring climate, with employers reporting an Outlook result of +9%.
Large and Medium-sized Organizations Expect Most Positive Hiring Climate
Employers in large (250+ employees) and medium (50-249 employees) sized organizations report the most positive hiring plans for the upcoming quarter, reporting seasonally adjusted Outlook results of +25% and +14%, respectively. Meanwhile, employers in small organizations (10-49 employees) report a moderate Outlook result of +8%, while those in micro-sized organizations (1-9 employees) expect a limited hiring pace, reporting an Outlook of +3% for the upcoming quarter.