According to the latest ManpowerGroup Employment Outlook Survey, the most extensive, forward-looking employment survey in the world, Canadian employers expect a steady hiring pace to continue over the next three months. Employers in the Public Administration sector and the Transportation & Public Utilities sector report the strongest job prospects, and employers in the Quebec region are forecasting their strongest Outlook in 16 years.
With seasonal variations removed from the data, the Net Employment Outlook of +12% is unchanged compared to the previous quarter and is relatively stable compared with a decrease of one percentage point compared to the Outlook reported during the same time last year.
The survey of over 1,900 employers across Canada reveals that 15% of employers plan to increase their staffing levels in the fourth quarter of 2019, while 6% anticipate cutbacks. Meanwhile, 78% of the employers surveyed expect their current staffing levels to remain unchanged, while the remaining 1% are unsure of their hiring intentions. Employers in all 10 industry sectors in all four regions of the country expect to add to payrolls this quarter.
“As 2019 ends, the market for Canadian job seekers is a bit of a mixed bag. While unemployment figures were at record lows over the summer, the hiring outlook seems to be weakening in some sectors. Companies want to remain competitive and maintain their employee levels as they go into the new year. At the same time, there is a real struggle to find and retain qualified talent,” said Darlene Minatel, Country Manager for ManpowerGroup Canada. “On the positive side, Quebec is boasting their strongest hiring pace since regional analysis was added to the survey 16 years ago. With provincial finances under control and a strong tech scene centered around four universities, the province is making up for lost time and creating more jobs.”
Canada Hiring Plans by Industry Sectors, Regions and Metro Areas
• Nationwide, employers in all 10 industry sectors expect to add staff in Q4 2019. The strongest Outlooks are reported in in the Transportation & Public Utilities (+17%) & the Public Administration sectors (+17%) followed by Finance, Insurance and Real Estate (+16%), Mining (+13%), Construction (+12%) and Manufacturing-Durables (+12%). The Services (+10), Manufacturing-Non-Durables (+9%), Manufacturing-Durables and Public Administration sectors have Outlooks lower than what was measured at the same time last year (Q4 2018) and last quarter (Q3 2019).
• Quebec (+25%) has the strongest regional Outlook in the country, the province’s strongest hiring pace since regional analysis was added to the survey 16 years ago. Hiring prospects Atlantic Canada (+13%) and Ontario (+10) expect an upbeat hiring this quarter while job seekers in Western Canada (+7%) should plan for a modest hiring climate.
• Of the 47 markets serviced by Manpower in Canada, the strongest job gains are expected in Brampton, ON (+37%), Quebec City, PQ (+32%), Eastern Townships, PQ (+31%), Charlottetown, PI (+28%), Halifax, NS (+27%) and Kitchener/Cambridge, ON (+27%).