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2007 Archive
Retail
2006 - Feb 5
Feb 6 - Apr 2
Apr 3 - May 23
May 23 - Jul 27


2006 Archive
Retail
Jan 1 - March 27
Mar 28 - May 15
May 16 - June 16
June 16-Sept 11
Sept 12 - Oct 23
Oct 24 - Dec 1
SERVICES/RETAIL/WHOLESALE Brought to you by
Total Retail Sales Increased 0.7% in August To An Estimated $34.5 Billion

After two consecutive decreases in June and July, total retail sales increased 0.7% in August to an estimated $34.5 billion. Although sales in all eight retail trade sectors were up, sales by new car dealers (+3.0%) led the way.


Despite a significant decline in gasoline station sales (-3.7%), which was mainly due to a drop of 4.9% in gasoline prices, according to the Consumer Price Index (CPI), sales in the automotive sector increased 0.3%.

Excluding sales from dealers of new, used and recreational vehicles and auto parts, retail sales increased by 0.3%.

Among the sectors, five had sales increases above 1.0%: pharmacies and personal care stores (+1.8%), furniture, home furnishings and electronics stores (+1.5%), clothing and accessories stores (+1.4%), together with miscellaneous retailers (+1.4%), and general merchandise stores (+1.3%).

In constant dollars, total retail sales grew 1.4% in August, indicating that there was a price effect. In addition to the decline in gasoline prices, the CPI showed a reduction of 1.8% in the cost of vehicle purchases and leases. Manufacturers' discounts on 2007 models accounted for this downward movement in new vehicle prices.

Sales of new cars recover in August

The increase of 3.0% in sales by new car dealers largely offset the 3.1% decline observed in July. The New Motor Vehicle Sales Survey revealed a 2.8% increase in sales, mainly due to the recovery of truck sales (which include minivans, sport-utility vehicles, light and heavy trucks, vans and buses).

Used and recreational vehicle and auto parts dealers experienced a decrease of 0.6% in their sales after a relatively flat month in July (+0.1%).

Sales in gasoline stations fell (-3.7%) for the third consecutive month. Nevertheless, since the drop in sales observed in September 2006, the trend has generally been upward.

Generalized increase in sales cancels out most of the decline in July

The pharmacies and personal care stores sector's advance of 1.8% in August was the second largest increase since the beginning of the year. Moreover, this sector posted only two months of declines since the middle of 2005.

The August rise of 1.5% in the furniture, home furnishings and electronics stores sector was the second consecutive monthly increase of over 1.0%. Rising sales in this sector were mainly due to the increase of 3.7% in sales by home electronics and appliance stores, representing the sharpest advance observed since February 2005. Sales in this trade group have not declined since the spring of 2006.

Both the clothing and accessories stores and the miscellaneous retailers sectors recorded an increase of 1.4% in sales in August, offsetting the decline in their July sales. The increase in sales in the clothing and accessories stores sector was mainly due to a rise of 1.7% in clothing stores sales, which more than offset the decline observed in July (-0.6%).

Sales in the general merchandise stores sector rebounded (+1.3%), almost entirely offsetting the decreases observed in this sector for the previous two months.

The building and outdoor home supplies stores sector saw an increase of 0.7% in its sales in August, offsetting most of the 1.0% decline in July sales. The increase in this sector's sales was attributable to home centres and hardware stores (+1.2 %), which experienced a rebound in sales that had decreased in the previous two months. According to the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation, the seasonally adjusted annual rate of housing starts advanced 5.1% in August. Sales by specialized building material and garden stores decreased (-1.6%) for the second month in a row.

Sales in the food and beverage stores sector increased 0.3% in August. The major player in this sector, supermarkets, saw an increase in sales of a similar magnitude (+0.2%) after a decline of 1.0% in July. Beer, wine and liquor stores partially recovered (+0.7%) after a decline of 2.0% in July, whereas sales by convenience and specialty food stores remained practically flat (+0.1%).

New cars revive sales in Ontario and stimulate sales in Quebec and Prince Edward Island in August

In eight of the provinces and territories, retail sales were up in August. Prince Edward Island (+2.5%) and Ontario (+2.0%) recorded the two strongest sales growth rates, mainly because of increased sales by new car dealers. In the case of Prince Edward Island, this was the fourth consecutive monthly increase. Furthermore, according to the New Motor Vehicle Sales Survey, sales in Prince Edward Island advanced 13.2%.

The increases in Ontario (+2.0%) and Quebec (+0.6%) accounted for almost the entire advance in retail sales, with the automotive sector mainly responsible for this increase. The increase in August in Ontario almost totally offset the decline in July, which followed the strongest quarterly growth since the first quarter of 2002. In Quebec, growth in retail sales cancelled out most of the decline in July, which followed the strongest quarterly growth since the second quarter of 2001.

Of the provinces recording rising sales, Saskatchewan (+0.7%) experienced its sixth consecutive advance since the beginning of the year. The rise in Newfoundland and Labrador (+0.4%) was the sixth in the previous seven months.

Alberta (-0.5%) experienced a decline in retail sales for the second consecutive month, whereas sales in British Columbia, after stagnating in July, remained relatively flat (-0.1%).

Related indicators for September

In September, the unemployment rate edged down 0.1% to 5.9%. The unemployment rate was less than 6.0% for the first time since November 1974. This decline in the unemployment rate coincided with an estimated increase in employment of 51,000 jobs, and most of these were full-time jobs.

Provisional data on automotive industry sales indicate that the number of new motor vehicles sold dropped 2% in September.

According to the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation, the seasonally adjusted annual rate of housing starts increased for the second consecutive month in September by 19.6%, from 232,700 units in August to 278,200 units in September.


Many US Consumers are Failing to Protect their Priceless Information - Education and New Storage Solutions can Help

New Poll Sponsored by Seagate(R) Finds Consumers Are Taking Unnecessary Risks With Their Digital Assets

SCOTTS VALLEY, Calif. - A worldwide consumer survey of adult computer users sponsored by Seagate Technology (NYSE: STX) finds that the US population is well behind the rest of the world when it comes to taking the proper steps to back up their digital files. According to the results of the poll conducted this summer by Harris Interactive(R), a little over a third of the adults in the US do not take the risk of losing their digital content seriously. This global poll of consumers also shows that other English-speaking markets are just as far behind the curve as the US when it comes to protecting their digital assets. While US and Great Britain consumers are the most negligent at 35 percent neglecting to make backup copies of digital content stored on their computer to external devices or media, Australia trails close behind with 30 percent of the population not backing up. Of the six international markets surveyed, China leads the world in data backup with 83 percent doing so, followed by France at 81 percent and Germany rounding out the top three with 73 percent taking the proper steps to ensure they'll have access to their data even in the event of a disc failure or system interruption.

The astonishing discovery is that 31 percent of those surveyed are still not backing up even though half of them (50 percent) have experienced the loss of important data in the past. The poll of adult computer users in Great Britain, France, Germany, China, Australia and the United States, finds that the digital files most valued are personal photos (39 percent), followed by text documents and emails (23 percent) financial/business records (14 percent) and more than a third (37 percent) consider their digital content to be "priceless." However, among those who do not back up, the most frequently cited reason for not protecting these assets is their lack of understanding of how to perform a backup or that backup is too complex of a process (29 percent). Another 24 percent said they don't think it's important enough to worry about, 13 percent think it takes too much time, and 9 percent don't back up because they believe that backup devices are too costly. Eleven percent said they never knew they had to do it.

"Educating consumers about the importance of protecting their data is a priority for Seagate," said James Druckrey, senior vice president and general manager of Seagate Branded Solutions. "While technology has enabled consumers to now become the greatest generators of digital content, even surpassing that of enterprise for the first time in 2006, the complexity of managing these valued assets has also increased. People need to face the fact that digital files are at risk of being lost forever. Seagate is committed to developing storage solutions that make backup and data management effortless tasks, so consumers no longer have to risk losing a single digital photo. "

With the recent explosion of user-generated media due to the popularity of digital cameras and camcorders, there is an enormous amount of content produced in the home that is now irreplaceable. While a spreadsheet or presentation file for business can always be recreated, that digital photo of a child's first steps captures a moment that will never be repeated.

Even with the latest advancements in digital storage management, consumers still need to be better educated about how to backup and the various back up solutions available. Backing up on an external hard drive can now be a seamless process. Whereas, the labor intensive burning of discs requires cataloging and storing those discs in a safe place, those discs can still be lost or damaged. Seagate has five recommendations for consumers to keep their priceless digital assets safe: <<

1. Back up daily or at minimum, weekly. With an automated scheduled backup via external hard drive solutions, you'll never have to remember to back up before shutting down for the day. Back up means the files can be found in at least two locations.

2. File level and folder level backup ensures that all of your essential files and folders are backed up on a regular basis.

3. For added protection against natural disaster, fire or theft, rotate two drives with one offsite or use an online storage solution.

4. Don't wait! With the latest Seagate and Maxtor(R) product offerings, there is no reason anyone should leave their priceless digital content to chance. The need to back up your files is a lesson that is often learned the hard way after the loss of irreplaceable files.

5. Invest in a bare metal restore system, such as The Maxtor(R) SafetyDrill(TM) feature, that ensures you'll have your complete system settings and applications up and running even if you have a system failure or virus attack on your Windows PC. >> To learn more about the new family of Maxtor OneTouch(TM) 4 external storage solutions, please visit: http://www.maxtorsolutions.com.

An upswing in sales of commodities related to the automotive sector drove retail sales growth in the second quarter of 2007.

Led by strong increases in sales of commodities related to the automotive sector, retailers sold $109.9 billion of goods and services in retail stores in the second quarter of 2007, up 7.2% over the same quarter last year. This represented the largest year-over-year growth since the third quarter of 2002. Sales increased among all major commodity groups.

Sales of motor vehicles, parts and services increased 9.1% to $25.8 billion. This was the highest increase since the third quarter of 2002 and was due to the strength of sales of new motor vehicles, which rose 8.1%. Sales of new cars rose 4.3% after two consecutive declining quarters. The sales value of new trucks, vans, minivans and sport utility vehicles rose 11.6%, the fourth consecutive quarterly increase. Used vehicle sales were also strong, up 13.3%.

According to the New Motor Vehicle Sales Survey (NMVS), the sales value of trucks rose by 5.5% during the same period. The difference between the surveys' results is attributable to the inclusion, in the NMVS, of sales of heavy trucks by wholesalers, which declined substantially in 2007. In 2006, firms increased their purchases of heavy trucks in order to renew their fleets to meet new environmental regulations that came into effect in the United States at the beginning of 2007.

Sales of automotive fuels, oils and additives also rose (+9.1%) in the second quarter of 2007, representing the highest year-over-year increase since the second quarter of 2006.

The ongoing strength in the housing market continued to propel sales of furniture, home furnishings and electronics. In the second quarter, retailers sold $8.8 billion of these commodities (+8.5%), continuing an upward trend for the third consecutive quarter.

Within this category, sales of home furnishings were strong (+12.1%) while home electronics (+7.9%) and indoor furniture (+6.9%) grew less rapidly.

Sales of hardware, lawn and garden products advanced 6.6% to $9.3 billion in the second quarter. Within this category, hardware and home renovation products rose 8.1%, the highest increase since the third quarter of 2006. The largest component of this category, lumber and other building materials, rose 8.2% over the same quarter last year, a moderation of the double-digit growth in 2006.

After increasing at their fastest pace in nearly five years in the first quarter of 2007, year-over-year sales of health and personal care products rose 8.3%, the lowest increase in a year. Since the second quarter of 2006, sales of these commodities have been increasing at a faster pace than total retail sales. Sales of prescription drugs posted double-digit growth (+10.0%) while sales growth of over-the-counter drugs, vitamins and herbal remedies grew 8.5% in the second quarter, down from 13.5% in the first quarter.

Sales of clothing, footwear and accessories amounted to $8.3 billion, up a moderate 4.0% over the same period in 2006. Within this group, sales of women's clothing (+4.4%), children's clothing (+4.0%) and men's clothing (+3.6%) all rose moderately, while sales of footwear (+2.1%) had their weakest increase since the fourth quarter of 2004.

Clothing, footwear and accessories sales grew 5.6% in the second quarter in clothing and accessories stores, while sales dropped 0.4% in general merchandise stores (which include department stores). As a result, clothing and accessories stores accounted for 67% of sales of clothing, footwear and accessories, up from 66% in the second quarter of 2006, while general merchandisers saw their share of sales decline from 25% to 24% for the same period.

Sales of food and beverages rose 5.9% from the second quarter of 2006. At 20.4% of retail sales, it is this commodity's lowest share of total retail sales since the series began in 1998. Sales of alcoholic beverages were up 7.7%, with more moderate increases in food (+5.5%) and non-alcoholic beverages (+4.3%).

Year-over-year sales of sporting and leisure goods amounted to $3.3 billion, up 7.6% and continuing an upward trend since the fourth quarter of 2006.

Note: The Quarterly Retail Commodity Survey collects national level retail sales by commodity, from a sub-sample of businesses in the Monthly Retail Trade Survey. Quarterly data have not been adjusted for seasonality. All percentage changes are year-over-year.


New motor vehicle sales advanced 2.8% in August 2007, partially offsetting three months of declines.

Seasonally adjusted data from the New Motor Vehicle Sales Survey show that 143,606 new vehicles were sold in August on the strength of rebounding truck sales. Ontario and Quebec accounted for almost 95% of this increase.


Prior to the three consecutive monthly declines, sales of new motor vehicles had been trending up since the fall of 2005 despite large fluctuations. Preliminary industry data for the month of September suggest that sales of new motor vehicles are expected to fall by 2%, mainly due to a decline in truck sales.

Trucks dominate sales increase in August

While both passenger cars and truck sales increased in August, truck sales (which include minivans, sport-utility vehicles, light and heavy trucks, vans and buses) outperformed passenger cars, accounting for over 85% of the increase in total vehicles sold.

Truck sales advanced 4.9% to 70,399 vehicles in August, partially offsetting two consecutive months of sales declines. Truck sales have fluctuated since the beginning of 2007, with four out of eight months registering gains.

Passenger cars sales edged up 0.8% to 73,206 vehicles after declining 2.3% in July. Sales have been lackluster since a strong 7.2% increase in April 2007. North American-built passenger cars were the driving force behind the passenger car sales gain in August, rising by 1.6% to 46,801 vehicles. Sales of North American-built cars had a rough start to the year, with a 10.8% sales drop in January followed by two additional months of declines. After a nearly full recovery in April with an 11.8% gain, sales have since remained below the average monthly sales levels seen in 2005 and 2006.

Sales of overseas-built passenger cars slipped 0.7% in August. So far this year, overseas-built cars have accounted for 36.1% of total passenger cars sold. This is higher than the 2006 average of 33.6% and the highest share since 1992.

Sales in Quebec and Ontario drive national increase

Although all but three provinces saw sales rise in August, 95% of the national increase came from Quebec (+4.6%) and Ontario (+4.3%). The gains in these two provinces partially offset their recent monthly declines.

Sales in Prince Edward Island (+13.2%) rebounded from two months of declines. Sales in this province have been generally on the rise since the fall of 2006. Increases in August were also seen in Manitoba (+5.6%), New Brunswick (+3.3%), Nova Scotia (+2.0%) and Saskatchewan (+1.2%).

Sales in Saskatchewan have picked up speed, with only three sales declines recorded since August 2006. Auto sales in Newfoundland and Labrador followed a similar pattern but have levelled off in recent months, declining 1.2% in August.

Sales in Alberta (-0.5%) and British Columbia (-0.7%) also fell in August. For British Columbia, August represented the fourth consecutive monthly decline. In fact, since the start of 2007, sales only increased in two out of eight months.


Note to readers

All data in this release are seasonally adjusted.

Passenger cars include those used for personal and commercial purposes, such as taxis or rental cars. Trucks include minivans, sport-utility vehicles, light and heavy trucks, vans and buses.

North American built new motor vehicles include vehicles manufactured or assembled in Canada, the United States or Mexico. All other new motor vehicles are considered to have been manufactured overseas.

For reasons of confidentiality, data for Yukon, the Northwest Territories and Nunavut are included with those for British Columbia.

The New Motor Vehicle Sales Survey is compiled on the basis of figures obtained from motor vehicle manufacturers and importers. These results may vary from those obtained directly from auto dealers, due to possible differences in record keeping.

Wawa Improves Delivery Operations With Descartes' New Intelligent AVL Service

WATERLOO - Descartes Systems Group, a global on-demand software-as-a-service (SaaS) logistics solutions provider, announced that Philadelphia-based convenience store chain Wawa, Inc. has improved its delivery operations and customer service with the deployment of Descartes AVL (Automated Vehicle Locator) Service for its direct distribution operations.

Wawa, a long-time Descartes Routing and Scheduling solution user, is leveraging Descartes AVL Service to efficiently reallocate drivers to other parts of its operations, increasing its capacity utilization to greater than 90% and reducing operating costs.

Descartes' Intelligent AVL provides a Web-based view of real-time information on delivery arrivals at distribution centers or hubs, enabling dispatchers to adapt routes quickly and efficiently according to exceptions. The AVL Service also features a wireless application that uses Global Positioning Satellite (GPS) locating capabilities to provide real-time data on driver progress against established route plans and enable on-the-spot decision making to meet customer commitments. Both are designed to work with Descartes Routing and Scheduling solutions.

"As a high-end convenience store and producer with a distribution network that spans five states, having up-to-the-minute information on driver and fleet activities is critical to maintaining high levels of customer service," said Don Kane, Distribution Manager at Wawa, Inc. "We've had so many years of success with Descartes Routing and Scheduling solution, that when we wanted to integrate AVL functions into our operations, Descartes was the natural choice."

By integrating AVL services with its existing Descartes Routing and Scheduling solution, Wawa has improved security, is better able to manage driver salaries and overtime, has more balanced routes and introduced the ability to compare planned versus actual truck locations. In addition, customer service representatives can now access the system to advise customers on the status of their deliveries.

"With a fleet of more than 225 trucks and trailers, it is a constant challenge for Wawa to have its time-sensitive deliveries make it to their destination on time," said Joanne Cochrane, Implementation Consultant at Descartes. "AVL and MobileLink Tracker enable Wawa to gain even greater insight into whether hourly-paid drivers are following planned routes and making the scheduled stops. Having this level of visibility empowers them to save significant costs relating to added miles and overtime hours, among other areas. It's an outstanding example of how our customers are building on their existing Descartes solution offerings to drive even more efficiencies and savings."

Retailer notice: New regulations that prohibit gift card expiry dates come into effect October 1st

TORONTO - Beginning today - October 1 2007 -, new regulations under the Consumer Protection Act will prohibit expiry dates on gift cards, restrict service fees, and require all retailers to disclose gift card terms and conditions clearly and prominently.

Shopping mall gift cards will not be covered by the new fee restrictions, pending further review of the market over the next several months. The terms and conditions of gift cards sold prior to October 1st will not be affected, including any stated expiration date or associated fees.

For further information, visit: www.e-laws.gov.on.ca.

<< -------------------------------------------------------------------------

Banning Gift Card Expiry Dates

Beginning October 1, amendments to the Consumer Protection Act 2002 and Ontario Regulation 17/05 that relate to the sale of gift cards come into effect.

The amendments establish rules to protect consumers in Ontario who purchase or receive gift cards or gift certificates from stores and malls. The new consumer protection measures now in force include:

1. Prohibiting expiry dates on gift cards and certificates

2. Restricting fees charged for gift cards to a) customizing a gift card, or b) replacing a lost or stolen gift card;

3. Requiring the clear and prominent disclosure of any terms and conditions relating to a gift card (e.g., any limits to redeeming a card). >>

Most major Canadian retailers sell gift cards to their customers. Gift cards and other stored-value cards are one of the fastest-growing products in the marketplace today. Most of the cards issued to date, however, include an expiry date averaging between 18 months and two years, and many retailers fail to disclose applicable terms and conditions. Several major retailers in Ontario charge some kind of service fee that erodes the balance after a specific length of time.

The restriction on fees will not apply to cards that are redeemable at more than one unaffiliated store (e.g., shopping mall cards) for a period of 270 days from today. This will allow more time to develop an approach that strikes the right balance for consumers and businesses.

Businesses in Ontario must make every effort to accurately notify consumers about the terms affecting gift cards, and ensure that consumers are aware that expiry dates are not applicable to gift cards purchased beginning today.

The law does not apply to loyalty cards used to collect rewards or points, and will not apply to cards that are subject to federal jurisdiction, such as pre-paid phone cards.

U.S. Retailers Leverage Surging Canadian Dollar To Aggressively Market Online Cross-Border Shopping

Canadian online shopping activity expected to surpass projections

TORONTO - With the crucial holiday shopping period just around the corner, savvy U.S. retailers plan to take advantage of parity between the U.S. and Canadian dollar for the first time in 31 years to shift Canadian spending preferences online. While this could spell great returns for retailers in the competitive fourth quarter, the ultimate winner should be the Canadian consumer according to online shopping authorities at airmilesshops.ca.

"As the Canadian dollar gains strength, Canadian shoppers are realizing the advantages of online shopping," says Emmie Fukuchi, General Manager of www.airmilesshops.ca. "Our U.S. retail partners have seen a steady climb in activity ever since the dollar hit the $0.80US mark two years ago. With parity, they expect to see an increase in cross-border online shopping that outperforms initial projections for the year."

According to a January 2007 report by eMarketer, 12 million Canadians shopped online and 9 million bought products or services over the internet in 2006, totaling $9.4 billion in sales on product and services (including travel bookings). A 2006 Statistics Canada report estimates that historically 63 per cent of these transactions were with Canadian vendors, while 37 per cent were with retailers in the U.S.

"2007 was expected to be a year of accelerated growth for online shopping in Canada, and with our dollar reaching parity and climbing, we should expect to see an increase in both the total spend of Canadians online, and the total number of Canadians shopping online," added Fukuchi. "U.S. retailers are also picking up on this trend by adjusting their strategies accordingly with discount offers for Canadian customers or by waiving service or shipping charges."

"As a result of increased traffic online, Canadian retailers should experience a halo effect and benefit from the sheer volume of online activity throughout the busy fall and holiday shopping season," says Fukuchi. "With increased competition, we should see better offers and pricing for consumers, as well as value-added customer service and an overall improvement to online customer experience across the board."

Jim Okamura, senior partner with Toronto-based e-commerce consultancy J.C. Williams Group Ltd., stated that, "Canadian-based portals to U.S. retailers offer even more value to Canadian online shoppers by providing useful features, such as product search tools, special offers and in the case of, www.airmilesshops.ca, the added value of a popular Canadian-based benefit - AIR MILES reward miles on all purchases."

Canadians can visit www.airmilesshops.ca to make purchases at leading North American brands like J.Crew, Bose, Brookstone, Lands' End and Victoria's Secret while saving time, gas and travel expenses and avoiding the hassles of border crossing line-ups.

In recent years, Canadians have been purchasing a wider variety of goods online with clothing, jewelry, sporting goods and toys among the fastest growing categories. Traditional online purchase such as books, CDs, DVDs and personal electronics are more popular than ever.

Following a weak second quarter, wholesale sales rebounded in July 2007

Spurred on by a turnaround in automotive sales, as well as healthy demand for machinery, and personal and household goods.

Statascan - Wholesalers sold an estimated $44.1 billion worth of goods in July, a 2.0% gain over June, surpassing the previous record high reached in March.


The key automotive products sector led the way with a 4.9% gain on the back of strong demand for motor vehicles. July also proved to be a good month for wholesalers of personal and household goods (+4.0%), machinery and electronic equipment (+2.8%), and building materials (+1.3%). Sales excluding the automotive sector rose 1.3% in July.

The most significant decline came in the food, beverages and tobacco products sector, where sales fell (-0.8%) for the third consecutive month.

July's strong performance in the wholesale industry reversed some of the second quarter's weakness, when overall sales fell for the first time in almost four years, largely the result of weak automotive sales.

Sales in constant prices, which take price fluctuations into account, rose 2.5% in July.

Pickup in motor vehicle sales drives automotive products sector higher

The automotive products sector bounced back in July, as sales rose 4.9% to $8.3 billion following a 0.9% decline in June. Increased sales of motor vehicles (+6.2%) accounted for all of the rise, while sales of motor vehicle parts and accessories edged down (-0.3%).

Although still not back to the record level reached in March 2007, July's increase in motor vehicle sales marks a turnaround from the second quarter, when sales of motor vehicles fell 5.0%, the largest quarterly decline since the third quarter of 2004.

With imported vehicles accounting for over half of the sales made by wholesalers, July's increase also coincided with a turnaround in automotive imports. According to the latest Canadian international merchandise trade release, passenger car imports surged 26.4% in July. This represented the largest monthly increase since September 2003 and brought an end to a string of three consecutive monthly declines in passenger car imports.

The slight decline in the sale of motor vehicle parts and accessories in July continued a series of fairly lacklustre performances for this trade group, which has seen little or no growth over the past two years. Wholesalers in this industry sell mainly to retailers and dealers.

Demand for machinery and electronic equipment remains strong

Sales in the machinery and electronic equipment sector rose for the third consecutive month in July, up 2.8% to a record high of $9.5 billion.

Of the three trade groups making up this sector, wholesalers of machinery and equipment were the main beneficiaries of the rise, as sales in this trade group jumped 6.1% in July to $4.7 billion. The office and professional equipment trade group registered a more modest rise (+0.6%), while the computer and other electronic equipment trade group fared less well (-0.9%).

July's increase in the machinery and equipment trade group brought sales to a new high, eclipsing the previous peak reached in March 2007. Despite slackening demand for mining and oil and gas well machinery—sales of which have declined significantly since their peak in early 2006—demand for other types of machinery, notably construction and industrial machinery, remains strong.

As most of the machinery and equipment sold in Canada is imported, businesses have been able to take advantage of the strength of the Canadian dollar to purchase equipment at a lower price. Aggregate prices for machinery and equipment have dropped over 17% since 2002, largely the result of the appreciation of the Canadian dollar.

The strong demand for machinery and equipment has also helped boost profits for wholesalers in this sector. According to the latest Quarterly Survey of Financial Statistics for Enterprises, wholesalers of machinery and equipment recorded the strongest profit growth among all wholesale industries during the second quarter of 2007.

Widespread gains in the personal and household goods sector

The personal and household goods sector registered its biggest increase (+4.0%) in 2007, reaching $6.5 billion, more than offsetting June's decline (-1.7%).

All three trade groups in this sector contributed to the rise, led by a 5.5% increase from the pharmaceutical trade group. This was the largest monthly rise so far in 2007 for this trade group, which continues to benefit from high consumer demand.

Apparel wholesalers had another strong month, as sales rose 4.4% in July following a 5.9% increase in June. Prior to this, sales had fallen for five consecutive months after hitting a record high in December 2006.

After declining 3.7% in June, sales of household and personal goods resumed their upward momentum in July, rising 2.2%. This was the fifth increase in 2007 for this trade group.

Ontario and British Columbia lead the way

Ontario was the main beneficiary of the pickup in the automotive sector, as strong demand for motor vehicles helped the province post its biggest increase (+2.5%) of the year, reaching $22.0 billion, more than offsetting June's decline (-1.1%). Notable gains were also made by wholesalers in the machinery and electronic equipment, and personal and household goods sectors.

July's increase helped to offset some of the recent weakness in Ontario, where sales fell in the second quarter as a result of weaker demand for automotive products.

Wholesale sales in British Columbia continued their upward momentum in July, rising a further 2.2% to $4.7 billion. Higher sales of "other products", personal and household goods, and building materials were behind most of the rise in July. Sales in the province have risen almost continuously since the start of 2007.

After registering a substantial increase (+6.4%) in June—the first in three months—wholesale sales in Alberta rose at a more modest rate in July, up 0.9% to $5.5 billion. Higher sales in the "other products" and automotive products sectors were partially offset by weakness in the food, beverages and tobacco products sector, as well as the farm products sector.

In Manitoba, sales advanced 8.7% in July to $1.1 billion, all but reversing June's decline. Higher sales of "other products" and automotive products, both of which registered significant declines in June, were behind most of the increase.

The picture was less rosy in Saskatchewan, where sales fell for the fourth consecutive month in July, down 0.8% to $1.3 billion. Nevertheless, sales in the first seven months of 2007 were still up substantially over the same period in 2006, following a very strong first quarter.

In the Atlantic Provinces, only Newfoundland and Labrador registered stronger sales in July, up 7.4% to $293 million. Rising sales of food products, as well as machinery and electronic equipment were behind most of the increase, which was the third in a row for the province.

Also noteworthy in July was the large increase in Nunavut, where overall sales soared 238% to $10.0 million. This increase reflected the dramatic jump in investment in the region, which is currently experiencing an unprecedented boom in mining exploration and mine development. This investment has also spilled over into other areas of the economy, notably housing construction. According to the latest residential construction investment data, total investment in residential construction in Nunavut registered an almost sixfold increase in the first six months of 2007 compared with the same period in 2006.

Inventory-to-sales ratio falls to lowest level since March

Wholesale inventories increased 0.6% in July to $54.4 billion.

Of 15 trade groups, 8 reported higher inventory levels in July. The most notable increases were in the pharmaceutical (+2.8%), "other products" (+2.3%), motor vehicles (+1.4%) and motor vehicles parts and accessories (+1.9%) trade groups. These increases were partially offset by drops in metal products (-2.9%) and computer and electronic equipment (-1.4%) inventories.

With sales rising at an even faster pace in July, the inventory-to-sales ratio declined from 1.25 in June to 1.23 in July, its lowest level in four months. The pace of inventory accumulation has eased somewhat in recent months, largely the result of reductions in motor vehicles and metal products inventories.

The inventory-to-sales ratio is a key measure of the time, in months, that would be required to exhaust inventories if sales were to remain at their current level.

Retail trade calms down in June 2007

Statscan - Consumers took a shopping break in June following the largest monthly sales increase in almost a decade in May.

Total retail sales fell 0.9% to an estimated $34.6 billion in June after advancing 2.6% in May.

Buoyed by May's advance, quarterly sales growth for the April-to-June period reached 3.0% and was the largest three-month gain in almost six years.

The bulk of the decline observed in June was due to a sales drop in the automotive sector. Excluding this sector (which includes gasoline stations' sales), retail sales were essentially unchanged.



Sales in the automotive sector fell 2.7% in June after three months of strong growth, most recently jumping 3.7% in May.

General merchandise stores (-0.7%), clothing and accessories stores (-0.4%), and building and outdoor home supplies stores (-0.3%) fell moderately in June after rebounding in May from April's sales declines.

Furniture, home furnishings and electronics stores saw sales fall for the second month in a row after six months of consecutive growth.

Partially offsetting these declines were sales increases in food and beverage stores (+0.7%), at miscellaneous retailers (+0.4%) and in pharmacies and personal care stores (+0.1%).

Retail sales at constant prices fell 0.6% in June, yet high sales levels throughout the second quarter resulted in a strong 2.6% increase during this three-month period.

June declines partially offset sizeable May gains

Sales at new car dealers fell back 2.7% in June after surging 3.1% in May. The New Motor Vehicles Sales Survey revealed that a decline in truck sales accounted for the entire drop in the number of new motor vehicles sold in June.

Used and recreational vehicles and parts dealers also saw sales decline in June (-2.9%), giving back just over a third of the exceptionally strong gains in May. Sales by gasoline stations fell 2.5% after a run-up in sales over the last eight months. This was only the second decline since the 14.6% drop posted in September 2006, when gasoline prices had plummeted 17.5%.

Sales at home centres and hardware stores (-0.5%), clothing stores (-0.3%) and general merchandisers (-0.7%) fell in June, following gains in May and declines in April attributable to volatile weather patterns.

Within the furniture, home furnishings and electronics stores sector, furniture stores (-1.8%) and computer and software stores (-4.8%) saw sales decrease for the second month in a row. Sales at computer and software stores have been on a downward trend for quite some time, posting six consecutive years of annual sales declines. Home furnishings stores sales rebounded back from a drop in May (-1.1%) to advance 1.5% in June, while sales at home electronics and appliance stores remained flat in June (+0.1%).

Supermarkets' sales rose 0.8% in June, continuing four months of consecutive sales growth. Sales have been consistently strong for beer, wine and liquor stores, which saw their fifth monthly increase in six months (+1.0%). Partially offsetting these gains was a 0.4% sales decline in convenience and specialty food stores.

Retailers experience their best quarterly performance in almost six years

Retail sales growth accelerated in the second quarter of 2007, clocking in at a heady 3.0% and bettering the previous quarter's already solid 2.0% performance by a wide margin. The latest advance was mostly attributable to a significant upswing in the automotive sector's sales (including gasoline stations sales), which accounts for 35% of total retail sales.

A 5.1% surge in sales by new car dealers accounted for the lion's share of the second quarter's outsized performance. This was in stark contrast to the first quarter, when sales at new car dealers actually declined (-1.7%). The New Motor Vehicle Sales Survey revealed strong growth in the number of cars sold in the second quarter of 2007 (+4.4%) with passenger car sales taking the lead (+6.0%) and truck sales rising at a slower rate (+2.7%).

Retailers other than new, used and recreational motor vehicle and parts dealers saw a reverse of this pattern, with strong second quarter sales growth of 2.2% falling short of the first quarter's gain (+2.9%). Most store types recorded positive but more subdued growth, building instead on the significant sales gains reported in the January-to-March period. Notable in this respect, recording positive but slower growth, were furniture, home furnishings and electronics stores (+1.8%), building and outdoor home supplies stores (+1.0%), general merchandise stores (+1.0%), and pharmacies and personal care stores (+0.9%).

Food and beverage store sales bucked the trend, however, with sales picking up 2.5% in the April-to-June period after a lackluster first quarter (+0.8%). Since the sales jump in February (+2.1%), partially induced by a hike in fresh vegetable prices between January and February, sales have continued to grow strongly at supermarkets (+2.4%), making the second quarter advance one of the biggest since this series began.

At the detailed store-type level, only 2 of 18 store types actually recorded declines in the second quarter, computer and software stores (-2.3%) and specialized building materials and garden stores (-2.7%). These accounted for less than 2% of overall retail sales in the second quarter.

Quebec shoppers take a break from their recent spending spree

Quebec sales fell 3.4% in June as shoppers took a break after a spending spree in May (+4.7%), induced by the payout of a pay equity settlement to the province's public service sector. The May surge contributed to the sales growth of 3.6% in the second quarter, the highest three-month gain in over 10 years.

Sales edged down only 0.3% in Ontario in June. Despite the decrease, April-to-June sales rose 2.6%, compared with the 0.8% gain of the first quarter, due to high sales levels at the start of the second quarter after a strong March.

Sales in Manitoba and Saskatchewan both edged down 0.3% in June after strong increases in May. Alberta (+0.2%) and British Columbia (-0.0%) retail sales remained fairly flat in June. However, second quarter growth rates in Alberta (+3.9%) and British Columbia (+2.8%) were buoyed by May's strong sales advances in both provinces.

Sales were down in all of the Atlantic Provinces, except Newfoundland and Labrador, after registering large gains in May. Newfoundland and Labrador bucked the trend as sales grew 1.8%, the province's seventh monthly sales increase in nine months.

Related indicators for July

Estimates from the Labour Force Survey revealed that employment was little changed in July, leaving growth so far in 2007 at 1.3%, similar to the growth rate in the first seven months of 2006. The unemployment rate edged down 0.1 percentage points to 6.0%, the lowest since 1974.

Based on preliminary sales data from the automotive industry, sales of new motor vehicles declined again in July (-3%).

The seasonally adjusted annual rate of housing starts declined a further 4.3% to 215,600 units in July, down from 225,300 units in June, according to the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation.

Retail Council of Canada's 2007 Back-to-School Consumer Trends

Canadian Consumers Remain Confident

TORONTO - With less than three weeks left until school starts, retailers and consumers alike are getting into "back-to-school" mode - the second-busiest shopping season behind the Holiday Season. As a new study conducted for Retail Council of Canada (RCC) by POLLARA indicates, 37% of Canadians plan to shop for back-to-school items this year. On average, Canadians plan to spend approximately $353 on school-related items, with 34% intending to spend $400 or more.

"The fundamentals of our economy that most directly affect consumers are still strong. So far this year, Canada has created more than 200,000 new jobs, personal incomes have risen by more than three per cent, and interest rates have remained stable. In response to this, Canadians have continued their pattern of solid growth in buying and we expect this pattern to continue through the back-to-school season," says Diane J. Brisebois, President and CEO, Retail Council of Canada. "The most recent data from Statistics Canada indicates that strong retail sales continued through June, with sales in large retail stores rising 6.9 per cent. Absent of any unexpected changes in the economy, we expect Canadians to remain prudent but confident through the fall season."

Brisebois adds, "Back-to-school is an exciting time for both consumers and retailers marked by new merchandise, emerging trends and increased shopping traffic across the country. While clothing, footwear and school supplies are staples, trends in technology have changed the face of back-to-school in the last five years, with more emphasis on electronics than ever before for people of all ages."

"The results in this survey reinforce the fact that back-to-school is a key time of the year for Canadian families. Interestingly, 48% of respondents intend to spend the same amount on back-to-school items as last year, while 33% intend to spend more," says Roland Merbis, Vice-President, Public Affairs, POLLARA Inc.

On average, Canadians shopping for back-to-school intend to spend $193 on clothing, with 25% spending between $100 and $199. School supplies are also a mainstay with Canadians intending to spend $123 on average, with 26% of respondents planning to spend between $100 and $199. Back-to-school also marks a time for new footwear with respondents looking to spend $80 on new shoes, with 22% spending between $50 and $99.

<< A survey by RCC of retail members across the country cited some back-to-school trends in the following categories:

- Clothing: For boys/young men - polo shirts, khaki pants, argyle sweaters, hoodies, vests and cargo pants, and for girls/young women - leggings, tunic tops, skinny or wide-leg jeans with wide 'cinch-belts';
- Footwear: For girls/young women - riding boots, oxfords, ballet flats, ankle boots and flat booties, and for boys/young men - skater/athletic shoes;
- Electronics: MP3 players, notebook computers, pocket size USB flash drives, desktop webcams, digital cameras, multifunctional cellular phones, and wireless mouse and keyboards;
- Toys: Electronic learning laptops, interactive story books, and pen- top computer systems;
- Characters: SpongeBob SquarePants, Webkinz plush animals, Thomas The Train & Friends, Transformers, Bratz, and Harry Potter; and,
- School Supplies: Locker organization tools such as an extendable locker shelf, bright pens, pencils and markers, binders and backpacks that come with embedded speakers to hook up to an MP3 player, and character lunch bags.

Highlights of the survey include:

How Much Are Canadians Spending?
- Residents of Quebec and Alberta will spend the most on back-to-school items this year ($449 and $409 respectively).
- Residents of the Prairie provinces intend to spend the least ($269).
- Men will spend slightly more on back-to-school items, on average $360, compared to women, $349.

What Are They Buying?

Clothing:

- 85% of Canadians plan to purchase clothing this back-to-school season.

- Residents of Quebec and the Atlantic provinces intend to spend the most on clothes this back-to-school shopping season, $249 and $203 respectively, followed by residents of Alberta ($199) and Ontario ($181).

- On average, men predict that they will spend more on clothing than women this season ($205 compared to $185 respectively).

Electronics and Computer-related Equipment:

- For those 52% of Canadians who intend to purchase electronics and/or computer-related equipment for back-to-school, they plan to spend $254 on average.

Shoes:

- On average, residents of Quebec and Atlantic Canada plan to spend the most on shoes this back-to-school shopping season ($95 and $93 respectively).

School Supplies:

- Residents of Quebec plan to spend significantly more ($200) than other Canadians on school supplies. The Atlantic provinces come in second at $135, while Albertans place third, intending to spend $102, on average.

Furniture:

- Canadians who are heading to college and university will need to furnish their rooms and 40% of back-to-school shoppers who plan to purchase furniture will look to spend on average $302.

Who Is Buying?

- Of those surveyed, 69% of back-to-school shoppers are parents, while 18% intend to purchase items for themselves and 5% are grandparents. >>

For detailed research tables, visit www.retailcouncil.org or www.pollara.ca.

Wholesale trade down for first time in 4 Years

Wholesale sales grew only slightly in June (+0.2%), as increased sales of "other products" were largely offset by a decrease in the automotive sector. Excluding the automotive sector, sales grew 0.6%.


Wholesale sales for the second quarter were down for the first time in nearly four years. This contraction was largely attributable to the automotive sector.

In June, increases were observed in the "other products" sector (+2.8%), the machinery and electronic equipment sector (+1.0%) and the farm products sector (+6.0%). These advances, however, were partially offset by contractions in the automotive sector (-1.6%) and the personal and household goods sector (-0.8%).

In constant prices, wholesale sales rose 0.1% in June.

Wholesale sales of "other products" continue to expand in June

For a second consecutive month, the sales of "other products" (primarily agricultural products, chemicals, paper products and recycled materials) rose, up 2.8% in June to $5.4 billion. An increase in global demand for products such as fertilizers and fertilizer materials has contributed in part to the recent sales growth in this sector. According to Export Development Canada, substantial increases in crop acreages in the world (for food, biofuels, etc.) are boosting the demand for Canadian fertilizers. The increased demand for fertilizers has also pushed up their prices.

Wholesale sales continue to rise in the machinery and electronic equipment sector

After rising 2.3% in May, sales of machinery and electronic equipment grew 1.0% in June. Two groups in this sector were behind June's increase.

Machinery and equipment sales posted a second consecutive increase in June (+2.5%). Despite these recent advances, this group's sales were still below the peak reached in March 2007. This weakness was partly due to a sharp decrease in the activities of the oil and gas exploration industry, which caused it to cut back its purchases of machinery and equipment. The low price of natural gas led exploration companies to scale back their activities considerably, leading to a drop in the number of wells operated.

Wholesale sales of computers and other electronic equipment rose 1.9% in June. This was the seventh increase in nine months for this trade group, which, in 2006, had posted its biggest annual increase since 1999. The strong showing of the cell phone market has in part contributed to the robust sales of this group in recent years. According to the Telecommunications Statistics Survey, at the end of 2006 the number of wireless subscribers was up 8.4% compared with 2005 to just over 18 million.

Wholesale sales of office and professional equipment registered a second decline in three months (-3.1%). The drop in sales only partially offset the advance recorded in May (+5.5%).

Sales down in both components of the automotive sector

Wholesale sales in the automotive sector fell 1.6% to $7.8 billion in June, a second decrease in three months. This decline followed the moderate increase observed in May (+0.2%) and the steep drop in sales in April (-8.9%).

Wholesale sales of motor vehicles fell 1.9% in June, a second drop in three months. These declines were attributable in part to decreased demand in North America. Exports of both trucks and cars declined for a third consecutive month. Wholesalers also moderated their purchases, as car imports also declined for a third consecutive month.

Wholesale sales of motor vehicle parts also declined in June (-0.5%). This drop more than offset the 0.2% increase registered in the previous month. Wholesalers in this industry, who mainly sell to retailers and dealers, have seen their sales remain generally stable since March 2004.

Strength observed in Alberta and British Columbia offsets weaker results in Central Canada

The strong performance of Alberta and British Columbia helped to offset a rather lacklustre month of June for wholesalers in Central Canada. At the national level, five provinces as well as the three territories saw a drop in total sales.

In Alberta, wholesale sales posted their first increase in three months, owing to the strong performance of wholesalers of machinery and equipment, and "other products." Wholesalers in British Columbia registered their third increase in four months, mainly attributable to a number of sectors, including machinery and equipment, and food, beverages and tobacco products.

Quebec and Ontario both saw their sales decline 1.2% in June. The decrease of $97 million in Quebec's sales partially offset the increase of $170 million (+2.1%) registered in May. This decrease was attributable to the personal and household goods sector, which accounts for approximately 20% of the province's total sales, as well as to the building materials sector. The drop in sales in the automotive sector especially affected Ontario, where much of this industry is concentrated. Even so, Ontario wholesalers have generally recorded increases in their sales since January 2005.

Inventories up slightly

Wholesalers' inventories rose 0.1% to $54.2 billion in June, the seventh increase in eight months.

June's slight increase in sales contributed to a decrease in the inventory-to-sales ratio, which edged down from 1.26 in May to 1.25 in June. The instability of sales in recent months has contributed to some fluctuation in the ratio. The inventory-to-sales ratio is a key measure of the time (in months) that would be required to exhaust inventories at the current rate of sales.

Total quarterly sales post first decline in nearly four years

Despite the gains of the past two months, sales in the second quarter posted a decline of 0.6%. This reduction, which follows a strong performance in the first quarter (+3.2%), was the first quarterly contraction in wholesale sales since the third quarter of 2003. The reversal in quarterly sales was largely attributable to the automotive sector. In the second quarter, sales of automotive wholesalers declined 4.8%, after growing 7.1% in the previous quarter.

For some sectors, however, quarterly sales were robust. In particular, the food, beverages and tobacco products sector posted a 1.7% gain in the second quarter. Sales in this sector were boosted by higher prices for some food items as well as strong demand by food and beverage stores.

Quarterly sales of personal and household goods rose 1.3%. A rebound in the sales of the household products group in the second quarter (+3.4%) was the main factor in the quarterly increase for the sector.

At the provincial level, Ontario posted a 1.1% decline, having mainly been affected by sluggish sales in the automotive sector. More than 75% of the motor vehicles trade group's sales are concentrated in this province. As well, this sector accounts for more than one-quarter of Ontario's wholesale activities. For its part, Alberta registered a 4.4% drop during the quarter. This was the first contraction in 16 quarters. Alberta suffered from weak sales in the automotive, "other products" and machinery and equipment sectors.

Wholesale merchants' inventories and inventory-to-sales ratio
  June 2006 March 2007r April 2007r May 2007r June 2007p May to June 2007 June 2006 to June 2007 May 2007r June 2007p
  Wholesale inventories Inventory-to-sales ratio
  Seasonally adjusted
  $ millions % change   
Inventories 51,296 54,291 54,610 54,168 54,204 0.1 5.7 1.26 1.25
Farm products 186 183 183 190 197 3.7 6.1 0.43 0.42
Food products 4,360 4,463 4,554 4,599 4,617 0.4 5.9 0.64 0.64
Alcohol and tobacco 288 302 313 307 311 1.2 8.1 0.47 0.47
Apparel 1,650 1,653 1,682 1,678 1,710 1.9 3.6 2.37 2.27
Household and personal products 3,913 3,828 3,897 3,932 3,904 -0.7 -0.2 1.40 1.41
Pharmaceuticals 3,066 3,432 3,502 3,494 3,545 1.5 15.6 1.23 1.26
Motor vehicles 4,737 4,775 4,649 4,491 4,535 1.0 -4.3 0.71 0.73
Motor vehicle parts and accessories 3,194 3,377 3,322 3,293 3,302 0.3 3.4 2.12 2.13
Building supplies 5,513 5,845 5,870 5,791 5,850 1.0 6.1 1.56 1.59
Metal products 2,775 2,985 3,034 3,030 3,017 -0.4 8.7 2.18 2.14
Lumber and millwork 1,037 1,150 1,139 1,111 1,099 -1.1 5.9 0.99 0.96
Machinery and equipment 10,684 11,623 11,678 11,658 11,610 -0.4 8.7 2.73 2.65
Computer and other electronic equipment 1,575 1,737 1,770 1,793 1,761 -1.8 11.8 0.67 0.64
Office and professional equipment 2,522 2,630 2,663 2,626 2,625 0.0 4.1 1.24 1.28
Other products 5,794 6,309 6,355 6,176 6,120 -0.9 5.6 1.18 1.13
rrevised
ppreliminary