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Investing Confidence
Manulife Investor Sentiment Index gains as Canadians keep investing
More than four of five expect finances to hold or improve in next six
months
WATERLOO - Canadians are seeing an upside to
investments amid the current economic news, according to a national poll for
Manulife Financial, Canada's leading insurance and wealth management company.
Nine of 10 investment categories and vehicles gained ground in a national
poll in mid-June for Manulife, with six areas showing double-digit gains over
the last quarterly survey in March.
"We're seeing some strong signs that Canadians are becoming more
optimistic about a range of investing, after favouring safer havens over the
previous six months," said Paul Rooney, President and CEO, Manulife Canada.
"Canadians seem more interested in real estate, equity, and investment funds,
after a stretch of gloomy economic news since late last year."
In its latest national survey of Canadians, the 42nd quarterly Manulife
Investor Sentiment Index gained nine points to reach +20. That reflects a
dramatic increase from December, when the index hit its lowest point in a
decade, at plus five, then recovered six points in March.
Among 10 investment categories and vehicles, only cash suffered a setback
in the national telephone poll of 1,003 Canadians by Research House, an
Environics Company.
"We always encourage investors to work with an advisor and stick to a
plan so they can stay focused on their goals, plus balance their various types
of investments," Mr. Rooney added.
Manulife serves more than one in five Canadians with a wide range of
financial services and products and one of our key goals is to help them make
better financial decisions, he said.
Financial futures
In response to a separate question, more than four out of five surveyed
(84 per cent) said they expect their finances will be the same or better in
six months.
More than half (52 per cent) predict their financial health will be the
same, while almost a third (32 per cent) said their finances will be better.
About one in seven (14 per cent) said they expect their finances will be worse
by the end of this year.
Overall index
Since its launch in 1999, the Manulife Investor Sentiment Index has
remained in positive territory overall. It peaked at +35 in early 2000, but
fell to +11 in December 2001. During the past several years, the index had
generally remained near six-year highs, above +20. But it suffered a sharp
drop last October and again in December, to hit an all-time low of +5. The
latest poll reflects results last recorded before the recession.
The quarterly index monitors how Canadians say they feel about investing
in 10 different categories and vehicles. The index reflects the percentage of
those who say they believe it is a good or very good time to invest minus
those who feel the opposite.
Investment categories gain ground
For the second straight quarter, the biggest swing came for investment
real estate, which gained sharply, while cash faced the toughest rap.
Investment property registered the biggest gain in June, rising 18 points
after a 23-point gain in March. Principal residences still remain the most
popular investment category - with a wide lead over every other area.
Highlights
The Manulife Investor Sentiment Index is based on the following six
investment categories, shown by order of their overall ranking in the survey.
- Investing in their own homes (either through renovations or paying
down the mortgage) remains the most popular place for Canadians to
put their money - a consistent finding since 1999. The index for
investing in their own home rose 14 points in June to +56. The index
reflects 65 per cent of those surveyed who said it's a good or very
good time to invest in their own residence -- minus nine per cent who
believe it's a bad or very bad time.
- Investment real estate widened its lead over cash and fixed
investments by gaining 18 points in June, after it quickly fell last
year from its second-place rank. Investment real estate has quickly
rebounded from negative territory in December, which it had seen only
twice since the survey began.
- Cash (including savings accounts) held onto the third most popular
place to put money, at +15. Over the longer term, since 1999, cash
traditionally had been the least preferred place named by Canadians
to leave their money. Then it recently showed a sharp rise since late
last year, as other markets fell out of favour.
- Fixed income investments (including GICs and annuities) remained in
fourth place among most popular categories, gaining a single point
from March to reach +14.
- Balanced funds climbed out of negative territory to hold fifth place
among the most-popular investment targets, gaining 11 points in June
after a sharp 33-point decline last October. Resting at +8, the index
reflects 36 per cent who felt balanced funds are a good or very good
place to invest, compared to 28 per cent who said the opposite in
June.
- After dropping back sharply last October, equities gained 13 points
to rest at minus eight, the only category among the 10 still in
negative territory in the survey. The stocks index reflects
29 per cent who said it's a good or very good time to invest in
stocks, either directly or via mutual funds, while 37 per cent saw
equities as a bad or very bad choice. Another 22 per cent felt it's
neither a good or bad time to buy shares.
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