../Morning Post
Posted September 16, 2009
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Human Resources

Online job postings on the rise: New Conference Board Help Wanted Index supports optimism

OTTAWA - The rising number of new jobs posted online in August signals that net employment losses may be tapering off, according to the Conference Board's new Help Wanted Index, released for the first time.

"While the Help Wanted Index does not yet point to a rebound in hiring, it suggests that the number of job losses is bottoming out," said Pedro Antunes, Director, National and Provincial Forecast. "Online job postings rose by 2.6 percentage points in August compared to July. The increased number of postings across the country is another encouraging sign that the worst of the recession is behind us."

In August, the index rose for the second time in three months to 86.9 (2007=100). The index increased in almost all provinces. Significant gains in online job postings occurred in Ontario, Quebec, Newfoundland and Labrador and Nova Scotia.

The Help Wanted Index is an indicator of the number of new jobs advertised online. The Conference Board's analysis shows that the variations in the number of jobs posted online are generally followed by similar variations in employment in the ensuing months, meaning that the index can be used to predict near-term employment trends.

Although net job losses may be tapering off, the Conference Board's second new measure of labour market activity shows that the unemployed still outnumber job postings by a substantial margin. The Barometer of Labour Market Tightness is the ratio between the number of measured unemployed for every online job posted. In August 2009, the ratio reached 3.6 unemployed persons per job posted. In comparison, the ratio in October 2008 was less than two unemployed for every job posted online.

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